The London derby between Chelsea and Arsenal headlines Week 5 of the Premier League season, with the former looking to heap pressure on the latter at the start of the campaign. A lot of people will be staking this week. We take our time to select top sure games that you can put your money on.
Watford vs Manchester City
This week Manchester City will be playing away from home against Watford. We expect Guardiola awesome City to win the match, the game will also produce goals and the safe predictions for this game is 2. Manchester City to win outrightly.
Watford have only lost 29% of their last 14 Premier League home games, whilst Manchester City has won 57% of their last 14 away games in the Premier League. The visitors have scored in 86% of those though. The Citizens only won 25% of their Premier League matches that came after Champions League away days last season, and have won 29% of their league games that came straight after midweek Champions League outings.
Prediction: City Wins & 2.5
Atl. Madrid vs Malaga
Atl. Madrid is expected to win the match. Atl. Madrid has won 7 of their last 8 competitive home games. Including friendlies, Malaga has lost 11 of their last 12 matches, and have won the last 3 meetings and 5 of their last 6 home games against Malaga, although they did only keep 1 clean sheet in those matches.
Prediction: Atletico Straight Win
Getafe vs Barcelona
Barcelona are bidding for their fifth straight win to nil in all competitions. Getafe hasn’t won any of their last 9 top-flight home games. Barca has won the last 3 meetings to nil. The last 3 games in Getafe between the sides have all produced under 2.5 goals.
Prediction: Barca Wins & Over 2.5
Manchester Utd vs Everton
Manchester United have won three and drawn three of their last six meetings with Everton, but they have won 18 of their last 24 Premier League games against them at Old Trafford and lost just once.
Everton have lost 63% of their last eight Premier League away days, losing by two or more goals in 60% of these defeats. The visitors have scored in 71% of their last 14 on the road though. Manchester United have won 75% of their last 24 home Premier League games against Everton, and their 33 Premier League wins against the Toffees is the second highest total for one club beating another in the competition.
Prediction: Manchester Wins & Under 4.5
Celtic vs Ross County
Celtic are unbeaten in 44 league games, while they’ve scored at least twice in 10 of their last 12 Premiership games. 12 of the champions 17 home wins came by at least two goals. The host have won three of their last five meetings against Ross County.
Prediction: Celtic Wins
Roma vs Verona
Roma’s difficult start has been down to a mix of poor results and bad weather. A home defeat by Inter and former boss Luciano Spalletti left the Giallorossi reeling, and they haven’t been able to put that right in the league. Flooding saw their clash with Sampdoria last weekend called off, while they drew 0-0 against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Roma have won five of their last six matches at home to Verona, and 17 of Roma’s last 21 matches at home have seen at least three goals scored. 55% of Roma’s games in the league last season saw at least four goals scored.
Prediction: Roma Wins & Over 1.5
Arsenal vs Chelsea
Chelsea may have looked like they were going to relinquish the Premier League title after a disappointing start to the campaign saw them lose on penalties in the Community Shield and then shockingly lose to Burnley, but they have recovered very well from these early setbacks.
While Arsenal have lost their last five away games in the Premier League against Chelsea and have conceded at least two goals in each of their last eight trips to Stamford Bridge. They have lost seven of their last ten away days in the Premier League too, conceding a huge 21 goals in the process. Even more ominously, they haven’t won a Premier League away match against a top six side since January 2015, and have lost eight of their 13 attempts since.
Chelsea have won 80% of their last ten Premier League home games, with both teams scoring in 80% of them. Arsenal have lost 70% of their last ten away days in the Premier League too, and have lost 100% of their last five league visits to Stamford Bridge.
Prediction: Anybody Wins & Under 4.5
Bayern Munich vs Mainz
Bayern Munich opened their 2017/18 campaign with dominant wins over Bayer Leverkusen (3-1) and Werder Bremen (2-0) before a curious turn of fortune saw them defeated 2-0 on the road to TSG Hoffenheim last weekend. Bayern Munich have kept just one clean sheet in their last five home outings at the Allianz Arena. Bayern Munich have averaged 3.5 goals scored per match at home in 2017.
Mainz 05 had a difficult 2016/2017 campaign and summer negotiations saw them sell last season’s top scorer, Jhon Cordoba, to Cologne for £15m. On paper, the 05ers have used these funds to make some smart investments – Alexandru Maxim (5 goals and 6 assists in 25 appearances) and winger Viktor Fischer add to Mainz’s ability going forward, while defender Abdou Diallo adds to the back line – but it was only in last weekend’s match against Leverkusen (a 3-1 win) where these talents finally came into fruition.
Predictions: Bayern Wins & Over 2.5
Tottenham vs Swansea
Tottenham managed to break the curse of Wembley in midweek as they picked up an impressive three points against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League, but whilst Spurs were very good in that game, the scoreline rather flattered them and they could have ended up conceding a few more against the Germans.
While Swansea returned to losing ways last weekend with a home defeat to Newcastle, but they have got four points on the board after four games, and the arrival of Renato Sanches and Wilfried Bony is bound to give them a boost in morale going forward
Swansea have lost 50% of their away days in the Premier League in 2017, but have only lost by more than a single goal in 17% of them and have lost by three or more in just 8%. The visitors have seen fewer than three goals in 100% of their last seven on the road too. Christian Eriksen has been involved in an average of 1.42 goals per game against Swansea, scoring an average of 0.85 goals per game.
Predictions: Tottenham Wins
Borussia Dortmund vs FC Koln
Both Dortmund and Koln’s trips to London during the week proved to be fruitless; Sunday’s hosts came off second best at Wembley against Spurs.
These two teams have made a habit of drawing in recent times. Four of the last five renewals have ended all square. Both of last season’s meetings ended all square.
The bet that catches the eye here is ‘Dortmund -2 Handicap’. Bosz’s men are coming off the back of a defeat but one in which they played pretty well. After that result, the hosts will be chomping at the bit to get back to winning ways and they have more than enough quality to embarrass a Koln side who’re seemingly inept.
Prediction: BVB wins & Over 1.5
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