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Nice vs Marseille
Marseille could move to the top of the Ligue 1 table with a victory in the south of France on Friday, temporarily at least, but hosts Nice may be able to at least deny them three points.
Les Aiglons are on a three-game losing streak but one of those losses came at PSG, also losing out to Germany’s Freiburg at this venue and at Metz.
Nice haven’t lost at home in Ligue 1 since the opening round of fixtures and since then they’ve claimed 13 points from a possible 15, picking up wins over Lyon and Lille on the way.
L’OM are riding high in second place but they have been far stronger at home, with three wins and three losses in six trips so far.
The Allianz Riviera has been a tough hunting ground for Marseille in recent years as they have lost at this venue in each of the last two seasons, and have won just one of their last six visits across all competitions stretching back to 2019. Nice may be out of form, but their home record makes them look a strong play in the double chance market against inconsistent travellers Marseille.
- Nice are unbeaten at home in Ligue 1 since August.
- Marseille have five defeats in eight trips across all competitions.
- Marseille have lost at the Allianz Riviera in each of the last two seasons.
Prediction: Corner: O 7.5
Valencia vs Levante
Valencia and Levante meet in the Derbi Valenciano on Friday and this season these teams are relegation rivals, as well as playing for local pride.
Los Che have dominated this derby with 21 wins to Levante’s eight in 38 meetings, and the visitors haven’t won a competitive match at the Mestalla since way back in 1937.
Lervante won promotion last season and are battling to avoid an immediate return to the second tier as they sit 19th in the table with nine points, one behind Valencia in the final safe spot.
With home advantage, Valencia are the more likely winners but they are on a seven-game winless run in La Liga so the best angle looks to be backing both of these suspect defences to concede.
Los Che have the third worst defence in the league with 21 goals conceded in 12 games, while Levante have shipped 23 goals so far in La Liga – only Girona have conceded more.
Valencia’s home form hasn’t been too bad, however, they have eight points from six games at the Mestalla and have only failed to score in one of those fixtures.
Los Che have conceded in four of those home games, while Levante have been better on their travels with eight of their nine points coming in their seven away assignments – scoring 10 goals in the process.
- Valencia have shipped 21 goals in 12 games, Levante have conceded 23.
- Los Che have picked up eight of their 10 points in their six home games.
- Both teams have scored in each of Levante’s last four games.
Prediction: 1-3 G Home
Burnley vs Chelsea
Chelsea could put the pressure on their top-four rivals with a win in gameweek 12’s first fixture, and they should do just that in a potentially high-scoring trip to Turf Moor.
Burnley slipped closer to the Premier League drop zone as they lost away to West Ham last time out, falling to their seventh league defeat of the season and leaving them with the second-worst defensive record in the division.
This comes as something of a surprise given their defensive resilience in the Championship last season, as does the fact they have a better goalscoring record than seven top-flight clubs.
Over 2.5 goals have landed in five of their last seven in all competitions, and they face a Chelsea side that have seen an average of 2.91 goals per game in the league this term.
- Chelsea’s Premier League games this season have averaged 2.91 goals per game.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of Burnley’s last seven fixtures.
Prediction: 1-3 G Home
Newcastle vs Manchester City
Newcastle have endured a difficult start to the 2025/26 Premier League season and find themselves just a couple of points above the drop zone, but they may upset the odds and take all three points at St James’ Park on Saturday.
After winning just one of their opening six games, the Magpies have beaten Athletic Bilbao, Tottenham, Fulham, and Benfica in their last six matches and are on a five-game winning streak in front of their own fans.
They were unfortunate to lose at home to Liverpool and Barcelona earlier this season, but they could find better fortune when the Citizens visit the north east.
Manchester City have put together a good string of results, but they are yet to hit top form on the road and have lost two of their five top-flight away games.
One of these was a 2-1 defeat at Brighton, and Eddie Howe’s side have scored exactly twice in four of their last five home matches, so backing Newcastle to win alongside a 2-1 correct score prediction appeals.
- Newcastle have won their last five home matches.
- Manchester City have lost two of their five Premier League away days this season.
- The Magpies have scored exactly twice in four of their last five home fixtures.
Prediction: 12 & O 1.5
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest
After losing six matches in seven across all competitions, Liverpool appeared to turn a corner after back-to-back victories over Aston Villa and Real Madrid, but a resounding 3-0 loss at Manchester City before the international break set Arne Slot’s side back once again.
The defending Premier League champions are certainly faltering in their title defence, sitting eighth heading into the weekend, a full eight points behind leaders Arsenal.
The last thing Liverpool need is a visit from an improving Nottingham Forest, who took four points off the Reds last season, including being the only side to leave Anfield with a league victory following their 1-0 success in September 2024.
Forest also drew 1-1 with Liverpool at the City Ground in January, but both of last season’s results came under the now-departed Nuno Espirito Santo.
Ange Postecoglou succeeded Nuno in the Forest dugout, but an eight-game winless run under the Australian saw him quickly given the boot, with Sean Dyche coming in to replace him.
Dyche has helped steady the ship, losing just one of his five matches in charge across all competitions, and Forest are fresh from a 3-1 home success over Leeds before the international break.
With questions remaining over Liverpool’s form, Forest are capable of leaving Merseyside with a positive result, and with the home side’s defence also looking shaky, this could finish in a high-scoring match.
- Liverpool have lost seven of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Nottingham Forest took four points off Liverpool last season.
- Morgan Gibbs-White has scored three goals since Sean Dyche’s arrival at Forest.
Prediction: O 2.5
Borussia Dortmund vs Stuttgart
Take Borussia Dortmund to beat Stuttgart at home on Saturday. Niko Kovac’s side have won eight of their last ten Bundesliga games at Signal Iduna Park.
They are third and Stuttgart fourth in the table, but both teams have won more games than they’ve lost this season. Dortmund have won six and lost one of their ten games, while Stuttgart have seven wins and three defeats.
The current form of Borussia Dortmund makes for encouraging reading. They are unbeaten in their four home games this season and have lost just one of their last ten on home turf in the Bundesliga.
The hosts have been prolific going forward. Borussia Dortmund have scored in 18 consecutive league games, finding the net at least twice in 12 of those. They ended the season with a 4-2 victory over Bayer Leverkusen in May.
The hosts have been impressive defensively at home this season, conceding just one goal in four Bundesliga games – an average of 0.25 goals per game. Dortmund have kept their opponents at bay in five of their last six on home turf.
The visitors’ defence has shown signs of vulnerability, with Stuttgart failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their last six Bundesliga games. They have been unable to keep their opponents at bay in three straight matches.
Prediction: 12 & O 1.5
Wolfsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen have been scoring plenty of goals this season and both teams can find the net when they meet at the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday.
They are fifth in the league table, nine places and 12 points above Wolfsburg. They have won six of their ten games this season, while the hosts have just two wins so far.
Wolfsburg are going through a difficult spell, with six defeats in their last seven Bundesliga games. Bayer Leverkusen have been winners in six of their last eight league matches and have beaten Wolfsburg in three of the last four meetings between the teams.
Both teams have been struggling defensively of late. Wolfsburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their last 20 home games, while Bayer Leverkusen have conceded on all four of their away days this season.
Both teams have scored in eight of Bayer Leverkusen’s last ten Bundesliga away games.
Prediction: 1 – 3 G Away
Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao
Barcelona will return to the Camp Nou for an emotionally charged game as they host Athletic Bilbao in their first game back in the stadium after more than two years.
Barca are locked in a typically competitive La Liga title race with Real Madrid and they will be looking to overtake their rivals with a win on Saturday before Los Blancos face Elche a day later.
Hansi Flick’s have won nine of their 12 league matches this term but have also suffered chastening away defeats to Madrid and Sevilla.
They should be able to get the better of an Athletic Bilbao side who have been struggling badly with injuries to some of their big names.
As a result they have lost eight of their last 13 matches and have been particularly poor on their travels, with just one win and five defeats from their seven road trips.
The return of Nico Williams has boosted them but their list of absentees remains substantial and they look set for more misery in this away game. Side with Barcelona to win a game which also goes over 2.5 goals.
- Athletic have lost five of their seven away games this season
- Barcelona’s last 13 matches have gone over 2.5 goals
- Barcelona have won nine of the last 11 league head-to-heads
Prediction: Barca Wins & O 1.5
PSG vs Le Havre
PSG host Le Havre on Saturday night, before key showdowns with Tottenham in Europe and Monaco in Ligue 1. The French champions are heavy favourites to return from the international break with three points, but things may not go entirely their way.
Both teams have scored in three of PSG’s last four matches, while they’ve kept two clean sheets across their last nine. They returned from the last international break with a 3-3 draw against Strasbourg, which was the first time they had conceded at home in the league this term.
Opponents Le Havre have lost only four of their 12 league games, but each of those defeats have come against the top six. They’ve been beaten 6-2 at Marseille and 3-1 at Monaco, so PSG should walk away with all three points.
However, the visitors scored home and away to PSG last term, while they have an xG of 14.8 across their first 12 games. The hosts have conceded 11 goals in 12 Ligue 1 games, so back the visitors for a consolation strike.
- PSG have won all but one of their home Ligue 1 games this term
- However, they conceded three times at home to Strasbourg after the last international break
- Le Havre have lost all four meetings with the top six
Prediction: PSG Wins & O 1.5
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