Top Sure Predictions For This Weekend : Tips, Stats And Analysis

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Chelsea vs Fulham

Chelsea banished memories of a toothless opening-weekend display against Crystal Palace with a 5-1 demolition of West Ham last time out, and the Blues can follow that by winning a third-straight all-London affair.

A pre-game injury to Cole Palmer and an early Hammers goal threatened to derail Enzo Maresca’s plan, but three goals in the space of 20 minutes turned things around at the London Stadium, with summer-signing Joao Pedro proving the star.

Pedro scored the equaliser and assisted two more at West Ham, continuing a fantastic start to life at Stamford Bridge. The Brazilian has scored six goals in seven appearances since moving to Chelsea and netted in his last meeting with Fulham for Brighton, so back him to get on the scoresheet again on Saturday.

The unbeaten Fulham are unlikely to be as easy to push over as West Ham, but Marco Silva’s side have had to launch a rescue mission in each of their opening two games, and Chelsea may not be as kind to the Cottagers.

The visitors have been good value for their successive draws against Manchester United and Brighton, but they have gone behind in both matches and now visit a Chelsea side that have conceded just 18 goals in 20 home league games under Maresca.

• Chelsea have only conceded 18 goals in 20 Premier League home games under Enzo Maresca
• Joao Pedro has scored six goals in seven appearances since moving to Chelsea.

Prediction: Corner: O 4.5 Away

Manchester United vs Burnley

There have not been many better summaries of the struggles that Manchester United have had since Sir Alex Ferguson’s departure than manager Ruben Amorim being unable to look as the Red Devils lost on penalties to League Two side Grimsby on Wednesday.

The fourth-tier team took a 2-0 lead but were pegged back by Bryan Mbeumo and Harry Maguire goals before the Mariners came out on top of a mammoth penalty shootout which finished 12-11.

Plenty of unwelcome records were set by the Premier League side and the pressure is mounting on manager Ruben Amorim.

The Portuguese boss insists on playing the 3-4-2-1 system but his inflexibility was at least partly to blame for their defeat against Grimsby, with too many defensively-minded players on the park.

New signing Benjamin Sesko had no impact on the game and even took the tenth penalty, an unusual sign for a star striker.

Fellow arrivals Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo were the two players to miss penalties for the Red Devils on an evening that could not have gone much worse for Amorim’s side.

They have taken one point from their opening two league games after surrendering a 1-0 lead against Fulham last weekend to draw 1-1.

Manchester United were holding late on in that game however and any goodwill they had earned from a decent performance in their 1-0 defeat to Arsenal now appears to have evaporated.

They will look to get things back on track as they host Burnley, who have put in two contrasting performances in their two Premier League games.

Scott Parker’s side were beaten comfortably by Tottenham in their opener but bounced back with a solid home win over fellow promoted side Sunderland.

The visitors come into this game with little to lose against their struggling opponents and look worth siding with giving a two-goal headstart on the handicap. That means that as long as the Red Devils don’t win by two or more goals, the bet will land.

• Manchester United have lost eight of their last 13 home Premier League matches
• Since the start of April, Manchester United have won the fewest points of any ever-present Premier League side
• Under 2.5 goals has landed in the last four meetings between these two
• Bryan Mbeumo scored 20 league goals last season

Prediction: Man Utd Wins

Tottenham Hotspur vs AFC Bournemouth

The Thomas Frank era could have barely started any better for Tottenham who, amidst a lengthy injury list, have won their opening two Premier League assignments to suggest a much better season is in store under the former Brentford boss.

Winning last season’s Europa League was a high point for Spurs but it did little to overshadow their 17th-placed finishing position in the Premier League, which was ultimately why Ange Postecoglou was replaced.

Tottenham enjoyed an easy 3-0 win at home to newly-promoted Burnley on the opening weekend of the season and they built on that in fine style with a surprise 2-0 victory on the road at Manchester City.

Spurs already look more compact and well-rounded under Frank and they will be determined to keep the strong start going at home to Bournemouth, who took four points from the north London club last season.

The Cherries did well to finish ninth last term but, as a result, have been raided over the summer with star defenders Ilya Zabarnyi, Dean Huijsen and Milos Kerkez securing moves to elite Champions League clubs.

That defensive disruption has told in the opening weeks of the season, with Bournemouth punished late on in a 4-2 defeat against Liverpool at Anfield in their Premier League opener.

Andoni Iraola’s side did respond with a hard-fought 1-0 victory at home to ten-man Wolves but they have since crashed out of the EFL Cup, suffering a 2-0 defeat when entertaining Brentford.

The Cherries are going to continue to carry an attacking threat, especially with the brilliant Antoine Semenyo in behind Portuguese powerhouse Evanilson, but there must be defensive doubts after their influx of departures.

The last four Premier League home meetings between this pair at Tottenham’s home ground have been littered with entertainment – both teams have scored with each rivalry and featured at least four goals – and this could follow suit.

Tottenham have looked more defensively assured in their first two Premier League matches but Burnley still had 14 shots while they were forced to sit deeper against City and utilise the counter-attack.

• Both teams to score & over 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in Tottenham’s last four home meetings with Bournemouth
• Both teams have scored in 14 of Bournemouth’s last 16 away league games
• Spurs have won their opening two games, scoring five goals

Prediction: O 0.5 HT

Leeds vs Newcastle

Leeds United and Newcastle both suffered disappointing results in the last round of Premier League fixtures and both sides will be looking to respond when they meet in the late kick off on Saturday at Elland Road.

Newcastle suffered a 3-2 defeat at home to Liverpool as they conceded a last-gasp goal, having come agonisingly close to an incredible comeback from 2-0 down despite playing the entire second half with 10 men.

Leeds started the new season with a 1-0 win over Everton but were then thrashed 5-0 at Arsenal last time out, before a much-changed Leeds side were eliminated by Sheffield Wednesday in the EFL Cup after a penalty shoot-out.

Leeds were excellent against Everton and thoroughly deserved the win, indeed they could have won by a bigger margin, but their defeat at Arsenal indicates they may struggle against the division’s better teams.

Newcastle enjoyed a perfect record against the promoted sides last season with six wins in as many games and they look well placed to pick up a first victory of the campaign at Elland Road on Saturday. The Magpies may have lost to Liverpool, but that performance was the kind of display that can galvanise a team going through a difficult period and they can take out some of their frustrations on Leeds.

The ongoing situation with Alexander Isak leaves Newcastle short on options in attack. Anthony Gordon had been operating as a striker but he is now suspended after his red card against Liverpool.

Leeds have only scored one goal in two games and Newcastle managed a clean sheet in their opener, a goalless draw at Aston Villa, so the visitors should be able to keep a shut-out and a 2-0 away win has a chance here.

• Newcastle nearly claimed a point against Liverpool on Monday with 10 men.
• Leeds lost 5-0 at Arsenal last week.
• The Magpies had a perfect record against promoted teams last season.

Prediction: Away Win Either Half

Napoli vs Cagliari

Victory over Cagliari on the final day of last season was enough to give Napoli the Serie A title by a one-point margin over Inter last season, and Antonio Conte’s side will be confident they can secure another success over the team who finished 16th when they meet on Saturday.

Napoli have picked up from where they left off by securing a 2-0 success over Serie B winner Sassuolo last week, and that means they have picked the ball out of their own net in just one of their last seven league outings.

Their defence is resolute and it looks as if Cagliari face a tough task to make an imprint on the scoresheet in this weekend’s clash.

Cagliari ensured they didn’t start with a defeat as they posted a 1-1 home draw against Fiorentina in their opener, but they needed an injury-time equaliser to do it and they also needed a penalty shootout to get past Serie B Virtus Entella in the Coppa Italia.

So Napoli should be confident they can keep another clean sheet and correct-score punters may wish to be mindful that the home side scored more than twice in just two of their last 15 matches on their own patch.

• Only bottom side Monza lost more Serie A away games than Cagliari’s 11 last season
• Napoli conceded just 27 goals in their 38 Serie A games last term
• Antonio Conte’s side have kept six clean sheets in their last seven league matches

Prediction: Napoli Wins

Pisa vs Roma

Pisa were delighted to get back into the Italian top flight after finishing second behind Serie B winner Sassuolo last season, but life is looking tough and they face a difficult first home match against Roma.

The new boys gained a more than creditable 1-1 draw against Atalanta in their opening league game of the campaign, but they needed an own goal to get on the scoresheet, something they failed to do in a Coppa Italia clash with Cesena, which they got through after a penalty shootout.

So goals are already beginning to look an issue and they could come unstuck on Saturday.

The Wolves got their season off to a good start with a 1-0 home win over Bologna and they can come out on top of this one by a similar scoreline.

While they have lost just one of their last ten league games, it is worth remembering that they scored just 19 goals on the road, so it looks as if one might be enough to do the job.

• Roma have lost one of their last ten Serie A away matches
• Seven of Roma’s last eight away games have featured fewer than three goals
• Pisa conceded in six of their final seven Serie B home games last season

Prediction: O.5 HT

Augsburg vs Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich started their league campaign with a 6-0 hammering of RB Leipzig on Friday night, which was an ominous result for their challengers. In a summer where the chasing pack looks to have taken a step back, Bayern proved they’re as strong as ever despite concerns over their depth.

The 6-0 win flattered Bayern compared to their Expected Goals tally of 1.72, but their quality in the final third made all the difference. Harry Kane scored another couple of goals in their midweek DFB Pokal game, while summer signing Luis Diaz once again impressed.

Diaz has scored in two of his first three matches for Bayern, including his first Bundesliga game. He’s backed to add to that tally against an Augsburg side who are set to struggle.

The hosts have been backed for a difficult campaign, while they struggled against last season’s top two. All four encounters with them saw them lose by at least two goals.

Visitors Bayern won by two clear goals in seven of their 11 away wins. Back them to clear a -1 handicap on Saturday, with Diaz backed to continue a fine start in front of goal.

• Bayern won by two or more goals in seven of their 11 away wins last term
• Augsburg lost by two clear goals home and away against the top two
• Bayern have scored 11 times across their first three matches of the campaign

Prediction: Bayern & O 2.5

RB Leipzig vs Heidenheim

Leipzig finished seventh in the league last season with 51 points, while Heidenheim were 16th with just 29 points. Heidenheim won eight games, drew five and lost 21 times, whilst Leipzig achieved 13 wins and nine losses.

Heidenheim have lost their last two league games and are heading for another defeat here.

Leipzig may be able to edge out Heidenheim in a closely-fought game, with a 3-1 home win the correct-score pick. Heidenheim’s last three Bundesliga games and six of Leipzig’s last eight have had three goals or more and this should have goals at both ends.

Prediction: Corner: U 5.5 A

Real Madrid vs Mallorca

Xabi Alonso made a solid start to his Real Madrid tenure by reaching the semi-finals of the Club World Cup over the summer and his side have carried that momentum into the new La Liga campaign. 

Many Los Blancos fans were hoping Alonso’s fast-paced style which led Bayer Leverkusen to the Bundesliga title in 2024 would result in plenty of excitement as they look to regain their crown from Barcelona, but it is actually at the other end where Madrid have caught the eye most. 

Madrid are yet to concede a goal in La Liga, shutting out Osasuna and Real Oviedo while winning 1-0 and 3-0. Impressively, they stopped the former from even getting a shot on target, suggesting another clean sheet is on the cards when they host mid-table Mallorca on Saturday.

Madrid have now won four straight La Liga games without conceding and it is hard to see Mallorca, who have scored just once and amassed only 0.84 expected goals in their two matches, snapping that streak. 

• Real Madrid have won their first two games of the season without conceding
• Mallorca have scored just one goal and taken only one point in their opening two matches
• Madrid have won three of the last five head-to-heads to nil

Prediction: Corner: O 6.5 Home

Toulouse vs PSG

There have been no signs from their opening two Ligue 1 games that Champions League winners Paris Saint-Germain will be taking it easy this season and they should be able to claim three more points when they head to Toulouse on Saturday.

Their opponents have also started with two wins and have been boosted by a couple of clean sheets but while victories over Nice and Brest will have boosted their confidence, a game against Luis Enrique’s star-studded squad is a different matter.

They have won just one of their last 12 home games against the Parisians and that is a situation that looks unlikely to change.

• PSG lost just two of their 34 Ligue 1 matches last season
• Toulouse scored just 20 goals in their 17 home games last term
• Nine of PSG’s 17 away league games last season featured at least four goals

Prediction: O.5 HT

Liverpool vs Arsenal

The last day of August seems an incredibly early time to be talking about title deciders, but there looks a strong chance that the winners of Sunday’s game between Liverpool and Arsenal will gain a significant boost in their quest to win this season’s Premier League.

There is plenty at stake, but this is a fixture that rarely disappoints and another thrilling episode looks likely judging by the way these two teams have started the season.

The pair have won both of their opening games, but it is Mikel Arteta’s Gunners who should be heading to Merseyside with a spring in their step following their 5-0 win over Leeds last weekend.

Much of that confidence should be gleaned by the fact Liverpool conceded twice in the Community Sheidl against Crystal palace and then did the same again as they were bailed out by late goals against Bournemouth and Newcastle.

The Cherries in particularly enjoyed a strong period in the second half on their trip to Anfield when Antoine Semenyo scored twice, and Arsenal will be delighted that big summer signing Viktor Gyokeres scored twice in the win over Leeds to shake that off his back.

While Liverpool have been continuously linked with Newcastle’s Alexander Isak, both Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekiteke, captured from Eintracht Frankfurt, have both looked sharp up top and player-of-the-year Mo Salah is all the mark too.

• Both teams have scored in the last six meetings
• Arsenal have gained a draw on their last four visits to Anfield
• The Gunners have won just two of their last 15 matches against Liverpool

Prediction: Corner: O 4.5 Away

Brighton vs Manchester City

Manchester City have had to cope with the fallout of last Saturday’s surprise 2-0 defeat at home to Tottenham, but they should be able to bounce back at Brighton on Sunday.

Pep Guardiola’s side contributed to their own downfall, especially by dithering in their own penalty area before Spurs’ second goal, but there was enough to like about the 4-0 success they posted on the opening weekend at Wolves to suggest they will be a force in the Premier League this season.

It looks far too early to write them off and we can expect a strong reaction against Brighton, to whom they have lost just twice in their last 18 meetings.

Brighton ended last season in fine shape after claiming four wins and a draw from their final five Premier League matches, but some of that needs to be taken with a pinch of salt.

Their last two victories came against Liverpool, who had already been crowned champions, and Tottenham, where the shine of a 4-1 away win was taken off by the fact Spurs were still celebrating their Europa Cup win earlier that week.

Fabian Hurzeler’s side did gain a boost from a 6-0 EFL Cup win over Oxford on Wednesday, but they were frustrated by conceding a late goal in their 1-1 opening home game draw with Fulham and it was always going to be difficult going to Everton for their first game at their new stadium.

• Both teams have scored in seven of the last nine meetings
• City have scored at least twice in ten of their last 13 games against Brighton
• Seven of the Seagulls’ last ten home matches have featured at least three goals

Prediction: City Wins & O 1.5

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