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Manchester United vs Sunderland
Manchester United are fancied beat Sunderland at Old Trafford on Saturday but the Red Devils don’t do convincing victories at the moment and that may be the case again this weekend.
United boss Ruben Amorim appears to edge ever closer to the chop but his side could buy him some more time this weekend with a win in which both teams get on the scoresheet.
That is out main match prediction and it would have been a successful bet on each of Manchester United’s last two home matches.
Chelsea and Burnley were the teams who were beaten on those occasions and Sunderland could be the latest side to get United a run for their money.
The Black Cats won 1-0 at Nottingham Forest last Saturday and they have lost just one of their seven matches in all competitions this season.
Draws against Aston Villa and Crystal Palace preceded that Forest triumph and Sunderland’s five-match unbeaten streak also includes a 2-1 win over Brentford.
Sunderland start this round of matches in a lofty fifth spot in the Premier League standings and they are making a great first of survival on their long-awaited return to the top flight.
Regis Le Bris’ men have taken 11 points from their opening six Premier League matches and it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that they could take at least a point away from this clash at Old Trafford.
- Manchester United have won and both teams scored in each of their last two home matches
- United have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven matches in all competitions this season
- Bruno Fernandes scored in both of United’s last two matches
Prediction: 1-3 G Away
Arsenal vs West Ham United
While his dugout debut did little to return West Ham to their overreferenced way, Nuno’s arrival has improved the Hammers’ hopes of survival. West Ham picked up a 1-1 draw with Everton in their first game under their new manager, following a dismal start under Graham Potter.
While West Ham had less possession at Everton than in their final game under Potter, the Hammers made more progressive passes and carries in Monday’s clash. While that might not delight the fans who yearn for a more attractive style of play, it should make West Ham more effective going forward.
One interesting change from their loss to Palace was who Nuno trusted to progress the ball. Potter’s side relied on centre-halves Konstantinos Mavropanos and Max Kilman to drive forward and make passes, but Nuno’s side looked to midfielders Lucas Paqueta and Mateus Fernandes, with support from their full-backs.
The setup of Nuno’s side could be a concern for Arsenal. While the Gunners have made a brilliant start at the back, the one point of weakness looks to be out wide. Their full-backs tend to drift inside during the build-up, before pushing out wide in the final third. That will leave gaps for West Ham’s wingers, especially now that their full-backs are pushing on and their beefed-up midfield looks a little more direct.
Nuno’s arrival brought expectations that he’d sort their defence, but a look at his Forest reign suggests the odds-against price on both teams to score holds some appeal. After Nuno arrived in December 2023, both teams scored in 16 of Forest’s final 21 games, including eight of their 10 trips. Last season, his Forest side scored in 84% of their away games.
A managerial change helped West Ham to a 1-0 win at the Emirates last year, while they’ve scored in four of their last five visits. Bowen has a goal or an assist in his last three away clashes with Arsenal, so West Ham can trouble a solid Arsenal backline.
- Nuno’s first 21 games at Forest saw BTTS land on 16 occasions
- Eight of his 10 away trips during his first season at Forest also finished with both teams scoring
- West Ham’s midfield looks notably more direct under their new boss, allowing their wide players to target gaps in Arsenal’s defence
- Gyokeres has scored 40 times in his last 36 home league games
Prediction: Home Wins | Gyokeres Score
Chelsea vs Liverpool
Chelsea manager Enzo Maresca batted away reports of him being under pressure before clinching a hard-fought win over Benfica in midweek, and the Blues boss could taste more success against a fragile-looking Liverpool outfit on Saturday.
While Chelsea have struggled at times this season, they have only lost one of their four home matches and have kept three clean sheets in the process, pointing towards another potentially frustrating evening for the visiting attack.
Arne Slot’s side faced a hostile trip to the Turkish capital for their midweek run-out, with a second successive defeat for the defending Premier League champions hinting at a turnaround of fortunes for the Reds.
They may have started the season with five straight Premier League wins, but they have looked far from convincing at times.
Liverpool required late goals to beat Southampton, Atletico Madrid, Burnley, Arsenal, Newcastle, and Bournemouth, and they have only won two of their five games away from Anfield.
They lost 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in May, and another defeat against the odds could be on the cards on Saturday. With Chelsea’s excellent defensive record in front of their own fans, backing a repeat of both sides’ 1-0 results in midweek also appeals.
- Chelsea have kept three clean sheets in four home games this season.
- Liverpool have lost their last two matches.
- Enzo Fernandez has scored three goals in six league outings this season.
Prediction: Corner: O 7.5
Real Madrid vs Villarreal
Life under Xabi Alonso was going swimmingly for Real Madrid before last weekend, they had won seven games in a row heading into the Madrid derby but a chastening 5-2 defeat at the hands of Atletico has changed the mood music surrounding Los Blancos.
They managed to get back on track with a straightforward 5-0 win over Kairat Almaty in the Champions League but Alonso’s men could do with following that up when they host Villarreal.
The Yellow Submarine have been in impressive form this season and currently sit third in La Liga after winning five of their opening seven games. No team has conceded fewer goals than their total of five and they drew 2-2 with Juventus in the Champions League in midweek.
Both teams have scored in four of Real’s last five La Liga matches and a repeat of that is fancied in this one with the visitors likely to put up a fight.
Villarreal’s only two losses in all competitions have come away from home however and they may fall to defeat against a team of Real Madrid’s quality. Take the hosts to win and both teams to score.
Los Blancos have already recorded three 2-1 wins this season and may pick up another.
- Real Madrid have won eight of their nine games in all competitions
- Both teams have scored in four of Real’s last five La Liga matches
- Both of Villarreal’s losses this season have been away from home
Prediction: Corner: O 4.5 Home
Everton vs Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace followed up a deserved win over champions Liverpool with a landmark, beating Dynamo Kyiv in their opening game in the Conference League’s opening round.
Palace continued their impressive unbeaten run, while they head to Merseyside having won their last three games. There are doubts around Palace’s ability to juggle multiple competitions, but a single midweek game might not be enough to throw off their rhythm.
In all the excitement around Everton’s new stadium and their attacking additions, their struggles have gone a little under the radar. They lost the xG battle 2.4 to 1.6 in their victory over Brighton, which was their first outing at their new ground.
That was followed by a victory at a struggling Wolves side, but Everton are now winless in four – a run which includes a 2-0 cup defeat at Wolves. Everton have recorded just 1.4 xG across their previous two league games, drawing 1-1 at home to West Ham on Monday night.
Ultimately, the Toffees are looking a little stagnant in attack, while they are conceding chances. Given their winless return at home to top-half sides last term, Palace could cause them some problems.
While Palace are getting credit for their unbeaten run, it does really do justice to just how well they are playing. Glasner’s side created so many openings against Liverpool last week, recording seven big chances from 16 shots at goal. Across their previous five games in the league and Europe, they’ve generated an xG of 11.3.
Only Arsenal have recorded more Expected Points through six games, while they head to an Everton side who aren’t fully reliable. The Eagles are performing like a genuinely top Premier League side, but both Brighton and Aston Villa went off at shorter prices away to Everton than Palace, who are above 2/1 in places.
- Everton are winless in four, generating 0.7 xG in each of their last two league outings
- The Toffees failed to beat any top-half side at home last term
- Palace have generated 11.3 xG across their last five in the league and Europe
- The Eagles went into the weekend only behind Arsenal in terms of Expected Points across the league
Prediction: 1-3 G Away
Brentford vs Manchester City
Manchester City conceded a late equaliser in their midweek draw at Monaco and they will be looking to bounce back at Brentford in the late kick off on Sunday.
The Bees boast an unbeaten home record across all competitions this season under new boss Keith Andrews but that will be put to the test this weekend.
City are the clear favourites to claim a win but they offer enough value at the current prices to make a straightforward away victory appeal for our main bet.
Brentford have wins over Aston Villa and Manchester United at home this season, as well as a point against Chelsea, but a return of seven points from those three games perhaps flatters them.
The Bees needed a late leveller against Chelsea, while Villa and United have been poor in these opening stages of the campaign.
After back-to-back defeats in August, City have improved and they head to west London looking to extend a six-game unbeaten run, with four wins and two draws. Pep Guardiola are unlucky not to be seeking to extend a six-game winning run as they conceded late equalisers against both Arsenal and Monaco. Brentford overcame Manchester United 3-1 last weekend but they did needed a save from Caoimhin Kelleher to deny Bruno Fernandes that would have drawn United level late on in the second half.
City have conceded a couple of cheap goals this season and have conceded in three of their last four games, with their one shut-out during that time coming in an EFL Cup win over League One’s Huddersfield.
Brentford haven’t drawn a blank in any competition this season and they’ve scored in five of the last six clashes between these two sides, so goals at both ends looks likely and a 3-1 win for the visitors has a chance in the correct score market.
- Manchester City are on a six-game unbeaten run (W4, D2).
- City have won three of the last four meetings.
Prediction: City Wins
Juventus vs AC Milan
AC Milan’s winning run continued last weekend, as they saw off Italian champions Napoli with a 2-1 victory. The Rossoneri played for over half an hour with 10 men, holding Antonio Conte’s charges at bay.
That win left Milan top of the Serie A standings, which is surely a boost for Max Allegri ahead of his return to his former side. Allegri’s second spell with the Rossoneri started with a shock home loss to Cremonese, but Milan only conceded 0.2 xG in that defeat. They’re incredibly well organised, which could prove the difference on Sunday.
Juventus have drawn four straight games, including a 4-4 draw with Borussia Dortmund and a 2-2 draw at Villarreal. The Old Lady won an incredible clash with Inter Milan 4-3 back in September, but this Milan side should prove more difficult to break down.
Prediction: Corner: O 4.5 Home
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