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Saturday Top Sure Prediction : Statistics, Bet Tips And Insightful Analysis

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West Ham actually made a very good account of themselves last weekend as they visited Manchester City on the back of a 4-0 drubbing by Everton. Many were expecting a cricket score against the dominant hosts, but The Hammers found the net first and almost brought home a point. It wasn’t to be though as David Silva scored a late winner, resigning West Ham to their 5th consecutive winless game in all competitions.

Things get even worse for them in the Premier League. They haven’t won a league game since the end of September, drawing three and losing five of their eight games since then. Unsurprisingly, this leaves them in trouble, sitting second from bottom in the Premier League table with a three-point deficit on the safe zone.

Chelsea disappointingly failed to win their final Champions League group game in midweek as they were held to a 1-1 draw against Atletico Madrid. This put the visiting Spaniards out of the competition, but also resigned Chelsea to 2nd place in the group, which could prove a costly failure.

Last weekend they comfortably beat Newcastle 3-1 though, and once again the ever improving Eden Hazard was the driving force behind their victory. He scored twice on the day to make it five league goals for the season, and considering he has scored four goals in his last eight Premier League games against West Ham, backing him to find the net again looks a good option.\

Statistics

Chelsea has won three, drawn one, and lost two of their last six meetings with West Ham, seeing at least three goals in five of them.

West Ham has won just two of their last 22 Premier League games against Chelsea (D4 L16), losing both matches last season 2-1.

West Ham United are now eight games without a win in the Premier League (W0 D3 L5), their worst such-run since December 2015. They haven’t gone nine successive games without a win in the top-flight since May 2011.

West Ham’s total of 10 points from their 15 games this season is their third worst-ever start to a league season; only in 1973-74 and 1976-77 (both nine points, based on three points for a win) have seen them win fewer at this stage.

Prediction: Away Wins Either Half

Tottenham vs Stoke City

Tottenham rounded off their dream Champions League campaign with a win in midweek, beating APOEL 3-0 at Wembley to finish top of their group with five wins and one draw. This sort of result is no mean feat considering they were drawn alongside Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund, so Mauricio Pocchettino can be incredibly pleased with his teams’ performance.

Spurs are now winless in four Premier League games, but they will fancy their chances against a Stoke side who have been shocking at the back this season. Not only that, but Spurs have beaten them 4-0 in each of their last three meetings, so we could be in for a goal-fest on Saturday.

The Potters managed to beat Swansea 2-1 last weekend, but the fact they conceded against the lowest scoring side in the Premier League is a testament to their defensive issues. They have conceded ten goals in their last five outings, losing twice and finding themselves 13th in the table.

Only West Ham have shipped more league goals than Stoke this season, and now they are coming up against the lethal Harry Kane, who has netted ten league goals this season and is only five goals off the all-time record for Premier League goals in a calendar year.

Statistics

Tottenham have won three, drawn one, and lost two of their last six meetings with Stoke, scoring 12 goals in their last three encounters.

Spurs have won each of their last three Premier League matches against Stoke all by a 4-0 score-line.

Stoke have won one of their last seven away Premier League matches at Spurs (D3 L3), a 2-1 win in November 2014.

No side in the history of the top-flight of English football has won four consecutive matches against an opponent by four or more goals in each game – it has only happened twice in the history of the Football League, with Barnsley achieving it against Darlington between 1933 and 1938 and Birmingham doing so against Northwich Victoria in the 19th century.

Prediction: Over 1.5

Real Madrid vs Sevilla

In terms of points, there is nothing to choose between Real Madrid and Sevilla heading into this one. They both have 28 on the board from 14 matches and they will also both be taking their place in the last sixteen of the Champions League, although only as runners-up. Defensively though both teams have genuine cracks which can be exploited and this promises to be a lively game with plenty of goals.

Real Madrid have some major defensive selection headaches here after a physical game in the Basque Country last weekend which saw Sergio Ramos see red. With Dani Carvajal and Casemiro also suspended, the last thing Zinedine Zidane needed was for Raphael Varane to pick up an injury against Dortmund in midweek. All four will now miss this game and Sevilla will really fancy they can exploit that.

Sevilla are in good form with 7 wins and just 1 defeat from their last 10 matches in all competitions. That solitary defeat was a narrow 2-1 loss at Barcelona so they will have reason to think they can really match Real Madrid for long portions of this game, even if they don’t normally enjoy their trips to the Bernabeu.

They bought some good players in the summer but it has taken some time for the team to gel. However, they’ve looked more fluid going forward in recent matches and have netted twice or more in 8 of their last 10 games. including 3 goals in tough games against Liverpool and Villarreal. That suggests they will cause problems for an under-strength Real Madrid but Sevilla have let in 1.57 goals per game away this term in La Liga and both teams have scored in 7 of their last 9 games.

Statistics

These sides have met regularly in recent years in several different competitions. This will be the 5th meeting in 2017 alone with Real Madrid leading the head-to-head 2-1 as it stands. Sevilla’s record at the Bernabeu is really poor though, losing on all of their last eight visits.

Real Madrid and Sevilla have not drawn any of their last 24 meetings in La Liga, with 15 wins for the Whites and nine for Sevilla. In those games, Real was shut out in just two games, while Sevilla failed to score in only three.

Sevilla are looking to become the sixth La Liga side to reach 1000 wins in the competition (currently 999), as well as the first Andalusian side to do it.

Prediction: Over 2.5

Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts remain without a victory at home, having suffered yet another slip up against Hamilton last weekend. The Jambos are continuing their favorable run of home matches, but their issues readjusting to Tynecastle have severely hampered their hopes of climbing back into the upper reaches of the league. Having passed up a huge chance to get a run of form going and turn their own ground into a fortress, Hearts are now simply just desperate to claim their first win of the season at Tynecastle.

Motherwell are in a bit of a slump, having lost the League Cup final to Celtic. They’ve met the champions in each of their last three games, losing that final, drawing 1-1 at home before losing 5-1 in the league last weekend. That should leave them low on morale ahead of a trip to the capital to face Hearts, and the Jambos will be hoping that they can add to Motherwell’s three away defeats this term.

Statistics

Hearts have won four of their last six matches at home to Motherwell.

Motherwell have lost as many away games as they’ve won this season, while they’ve conceded over two goals per game on the road this term.

Prediction: 12 & Over 1.5

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayern Munich

Eintracht Frankfurt’s 2-1 win on the road to the home-strong Hertha Berlin last weekend is a perfect representation of how far the Eagles have come since the end of last season. Frankfurt finished rock bottom of the form table in the Bundesliga from January to May, but are now outside of European qualification on goal difference alone, while also boasting the single best away record in the league (W4 D3 L1) – Bayern Munich are just behind them and have a game in hand though.

From a betting perspective, Bayern Munich’s dominance over the Bundesliga sometimes makes it difficult to find much value, but we feel backing Bayern Munich to win and over 2.5 goals to be worth a few quid. Bayern’s offensive prowess needs no introduction – any combination of Coman, Rodriguez, Ribery and Thomas Muller can provide ample support for the always-dangerous Robert Lewandowski, who’s 14 goals in 14 appearances in the Bundesliga make him one of the most in-form strikers in Europe. Bayern’s No.9 has found the back of the net eight times over his last eight competitive outings (6 singles and one brace) so is absolutely worth backing to score anytime on Saturday.

Statistics

Bayern Munich won 3-0 at home to Frankfurt when the two sides last met in March.

FC Bayern are unbeaten in 12 competitive games against Eintracht (W9 D3). They haven’t lost to the Eagles since March 2010 (2-1 in the Bundesliga).

All of Frankfurt’s games this term have finished level or with a one-goal margin of victory. No other side in Europe’s top five leagues has achieved the same feat.

Prediction: 2 & Over 1.5

PSG vs Lille

Title favorites and Ligue 1 leaders PSG will be looking to bounce back this Saturday when they entertain lowly Lille. Unai Emery’s team were left stunned at the weekend when they were beaten 2-1 by newly promoted Strasbourg, giving the team from Paris their first defeat of the campaign in all competitions. They followed that up with another loss in midweek against Bayern Munich in the Champions League.

PSG now have a nine-point lead on three sides who all have 32 points in Lyon, Monaco, and Marseille. They are still expected to win the championship, but after last weekend’s game, it may not be as straightforward as many have predicted.

Lille. meanwhile are in excellent form, having won three of their last five games to drag themselves out of the relegation zone. Despite suspending manager Marcelo Bielsa in bizarre circumstances, the team is up to 17th following victories over Lyon and Toulouse in the past week. This Saturday’s match will be a tough test however and further hard fixtures against Dijon and Nice await before the end of 2017, so Lille could well be back among the bottom three. Generally, however, the side has talent within the ranks and could, if organized better, get towards mid-table.

Statistics

In the past 39 meetings, PSG has won 17, Lille has won nine and 13 have been drawn.

Paris are unbeaten in their last 10 Ligue 1 games against Lille (W7 D3).

Paris has lost none of their last 18 home games against Lille in the top-flight (W10 D8).

Paris has failed to score only once in their last 11 Ligue 1 games against Lille, back in February 2016 (0-0).

Prediction: 1 & Over 2.5

Juventus vs Inter Milan

For the second weekend in a row, Serie A’s biggest game is a clash between the reigning champions and the league leaders. Juventus won 1-0 at Napoli last weekend to keep themselves in the title race, but the biggest winners from that game were Inter, who managed to jump above the Partenopei and move in to top spot. Now they face a trip to Juve in the Derby d’Italia, but can they succeed where Napoli failed?

The champions returned to their dogged, defensive structure after taking the lead against Napoli. It was a classic Juventus victory, from a side who have been leading the scoring charts this season. Juve managed another big win in midweek, claiming a victory in Greece to move in to the last 16 of the Champions League. While the Italian champions have had problems this season, everything seems to be coming together for them as we head towards the half-way mark in the season.

The one concern for Inter is that Icardi is scoring most of their goals, and he tends to save his strikes for the San Siro. It’s hard to see the supporting cast getting much room to thrive in this one, leaving them wondering where the goals are coming from.

That’s not a new concern for Inter in this fixture, as they’ve lost their last three trips to this ground without scoring a goal. The Old lady have won seven of their last nine games at home to Inter, and that head to head record could just see them edge a clash with a side who have little experience when it comes to winning titles. Given how Juve have dominated Serie A in recent years, we think they can come out on top here.

Statistics

Juventus have won four of their last five meetings with Inter ahead of this clash.

Juve have only lost one of their last 11 home games against Inter (W7 D3) – the Nerazzurri were the first of four sides to win at the new Juventus Stadium so far in Serie A.

Juve have set a new Serie A record of scoring in consecutive games (44). The Old Lady have also scored in each of their last 45 home games in the top-flight.

Inter have 18 points more than last season at this stage of the campaign – that’s the best point-difference amongst teams who’ve taken part in the last two Serie A campaigns.

Prediction: 12 & Under 4.5

Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica became the first ever Portuguese side to lose all six of their Champions League group stage games in midweek, suffering a 2-0 defeat at home to Basel. However, the Eagles had given up on Europe quite a while ago after an awful start, and they’ll be out to retain their domestic title without the distraction of Europa League matches in the new year. Given that they return to Primeira Liga action against Estoril on Saturday, Benfica should have little trouble adding another three points to their tally this weekend.

Estoril are in awful form this season, claiming just two victories as the league approaches the half-way mark. Having claimed just 0.57 points per game away from home, the last thing Estoril want is to go up against Benfica’s 100% home record in the league this weekend. While the champions were beaten by Champions League opposition, we can’t see them having any problems dispatching a side who are heading for the second division.

Statistics

Benfica have won five of their last matches against Estoril, hitting 15 goals in their last four home encounters.

The home side have been winning at the end of each half in eight of their last nine home matches. The champions have scored a minimum of two goals in all but two of their last 22 home league games.

Prediction: 1 & Over 1.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credits: Freesupertips

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