Wednesday Champions League Preview : Prediction, Bet Tips & Team Analysis



Juventus and Barcelona met in the Champions League last season as they faced off in the higher stakes of the quarterfinals in April. It was the rock-solid Juventus who came out on top in that fixture, beating them 3-0 on aggregate and eventually making it to the final before being beaten by Real Madrid. However, Barcelona managed to get some measure of revenge in the reverse fixture this season.

The Catalan giants beat them 3-0 at the Camp Nou, and at the moment it’s that victory that is the difference between the sides. Juventus sit 2nd in the group and are three points behind top of the group Barcelona, so this is a crucial matchup.

Juventus aren’t coming into it in the best of form though. Their last Champions League outing saw them draw away to Sporting Lisbon and on Saturday they lost in Sampdoria, conceding three goals as talisman Gianluigi Buffon was rested.

Statistics


Barcelona has won three, drawn two, and lost two of their seven previous meetings with Juventus.

Juventus have scored 100% of their competitive home games this season and haven’t failed to score at home since September 2016. Barcelona has scored in 88% of their trips away this season.

Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners

Qarabag vs Chelsea

Qarabag were understandably made massive favorites for the bottom spot in this Champions League group, thanks to being drawn alongside the likes of Roma, Atletico Madrid, and Chelsea. Indeed, they are bottom at the moment, but with just two games remaining, they do still have a slight chance of making it to the Europa League knockout rounds, despite their minnow status.

Qarabag’s other two games haven’t gone quite so well, with a 6-0 hammering at Chelsea being followed by a much more respectable 2-1 loss at home to Roma. This vastly improved defense on home soil could be key for them in this game, and we think it’s highly unlikely that we’ll see another landslide victory for Antonio Conte’s men.

Chelsea finds themselves fairly comfortable in 2nd place in the group, but they will be aiming for the top spot now. They are just a point behind Roma and four ahead of Atletico Madrid, so a win on Wednesday could take them top of the pile.

Statistics

September’s 6-0 win for Chelsea was the first-ever meeting between these sides.

Chelsea has won just 25% of their away games this season by more than a single goal margin, whilst Qarabag hasn’t lost by two or more goals since 2013.

Prediction: Chelsea Wins & Over 1,5

CSKA vs Benfica

The hosts currently sit 3rd in the group, but their level on points with 2nd placed Basel and know that their Swiss counterparts are facing off with Manchester United on Wednesday. Of course, CSKA Moscow ends their group campaign at Old Trafford, so a win here is almost a necessity if they want to qualify for the knockout rounds.

Benfica, who were touted as second favorites in this group, have had a shocking campaign. They have lost all four of their group matches and find themselves rock bottom of the group. They have only managed one goal in this period and have shipped ten at the other end.

That one goal did come in the reverse fixture against CSKA Moscow, but back in Russia, they will probably find it tough to get on the scoresheet, given that they have failed to score in each of their last three Champions League games.

Statistics

CSKA Moscow have won two and drawn one of their three previous meetings with Benfica, with the most recent being a 2-1 win in Portugal earlier in this campaign.

The host have averaged just 1.25 goals per game in the group stages so far, whilst Benfica have managed a meager 0.25 goals per game on average.

Prediction: Anybody Wins

Sporting Lisbon vs Olympiakos 

Sporting Lisbon were always going to be up against it in the quest for qualification from this Champions League group, but despite being drawn alongside Barcelona and Juventus the Portuguese outfit still have a very real chance of making it to the knockout stages.

Admittedly they are still underdogs, sitting three points adrift of 2nd placed Juventus going into the penultimate round of games. If Juventus lose to Barcelona on Wednesday and Sporting win they would leapfrog the Turin outfit, but would then need to match their result in their final game away to Barcelona.

Olympiakos know that they need to win this to stand any chance of taking 3rd spot and qualifying for the Europa League knockout stages. They are currently three points adrift of Sporting Lisbon and with a four-goal difference deficit. With both sides expected to lose their final group games it makes this an absolutely crucial game, and as such we’re expecting Olympiakos to go on the offensive.

Statistics

Sporting Lisbon has won both of their previous meetings with Olympiakos.

Sporting Lisbon has scored 75% of their Champions League group games this season, whilst Olympiakos have scored in 80% of their competitive trips away.

Prediction: Sporting Wins

Anderlecht vs Bayern Munich

Anderlecht were always going to find it difficult in this Champions League group stage thanks to the misfortune of drawing both PSG and Bayern Munich, but they will have been hoping for a slightly better showing than they have managed so far.

Four games into the group stage they sit rock bottom of the table having lost every one of their matches, and it’s going to require a bit of a miracle for them if they want to take 3rd position and the Europa League progression it carries with it.

Bayern Munich has had some difficult spells this season, most of all their 3-0 loss at PSG in the Champions League in September. However, they have recovered recently, and a comfortable win over Augsburg on Saturday made it seven wins and one draw from their last eight competitive outings.

A point will be enough to guarantee them qualification on Wednesday, but the Bundesliga giants will be hoping they can snatch the top spot.

Statistics

Bayern Munich has won three, drawn one, and lost one of their five meetings with Anderlecht.

Bayern Munich has conceded in 86% of their last seven away games in all competitions, including 100% of their Champions League away days.

Prediction: Bayern Wins & Over 1.5

PSG vs Celtic

The French giants have won all four of their group matches so far, including their incredibly impressive dismantlement of Bayern Munich at the Parc des Princes. They have scored a huge 17 goals in these four games, and equally impressive is the fact they are yet to concede.

PSG’s overall form is a similar story. They remain unbeaten this season, with only a couple of draws marring their record. Their 4-1 thrashing of Nantes on Saturday makes it four wins on the bounce, a period in which they have scored 17 goals and conceded just once.

Celtic have every right to bemoan their awful luck in these Champions League group stages. Last season they were drawn alongside Barcelona, Manchester City, and Borussia Monchengladbach, and once again this year they are playing against European heavyweights.

Fortunately for them, they have actually managed to get some points on the board. They beat Anderlecht 3-0 away from home and sit three points ahead of them, and with them ending the group stages by hosting the Belgians, they will feel confident of making it through to the Europa League knockouts.

Statistic

September’s 5-0 thrashing by PSG was the first time these sides have met.

PSG have won to nil in 100% of their Champions League matches this season, whilst Celtic have failed to score in 50% of their group games.

Prediction: Over 2.5

Atletico vs Roma

Atletico Madrid’s season is not going well at all right now. They picked up a point at home to arch-rivals Real Madrid on Saturday, but whilst that result on its own is very respectable, their overall form is looking a bit bleak.

They have won just two of their last ten matches in all competitions, drawing a huge seven times and finding themselves on the verge of elimination from the Champions League. Considering they have reached the final twice in the last four years this is a real shock, but nobody can argue that it is undeserved.

Roma, meanwhile, sit atop the group coming into the penultimate round of games, a standing that is largely thanks to their fantastic performances against Chelsea. They performed very well at Stamford Bridge to get a 3-3 draw, and they followed that with an even better showing at home as they beat The Blues 3-0. They only have a one-point advantage though, so they could do with getting a win here too.

Statistic

September’s goalless draw between these sides was their first meeting.

Roma has scored at least two goals in 75% of their Champions League group games this season and has found the net in 100% of their competitive away days this season. Atletico Madrid has scored 86% of their home games this season but has conceded in 63%.

Prediction: Away Score

Basel vs Man Utd

Basel were seen as outsiders in this Champions League group before the campaign started, but with just two games remaining they find themselves in an excellent position in their quest for qualification to the knockout stages.

They are currently 2nd in the group, admittedly some six points adrift of leaders Manchester United but holding a promising goal difference advantage over 3rd placed CSKA Moscow. They are six points clear of the dreadful Benfica too, so they are close to guaranteeing at least Europa League football in the new year.

Manchester United have suffered a few setbacks over the last month or so, but Saturday’s 4-1 win over Newcastle saw the return of Paul Pogba from injury, with Zlatan Ibrahimovic also returning for the first time since his cruciate ligament rupture last season. Those two players coming back will be a huge boost to Jose Mourinho’s side, and they only need a point on Wednesday to guarantee the top spot.

We’re expecting the visitors to be on song going forward on Wednesday. They have scored at least two goals in three of their four group games so far and in 12 of their 18 competitive games this season. Romelu Lukaku ended his mini goalscoring drought on Saturday too, and given that he has netted 12 goals in 17 games for his new club, he looks a great choice for our anytime goalscorer predictions.

Statistics

Manchester United have won two, drawn two, and lost one of their five previous meetings with Basel, with all but one of these games seeing at least three goals scored.

United have scored at least two goals in 75% of their Champions League group games this season and in 67% of their competitive matches this term.

Prediction: Man Utd Wins

 

 

 

Credits: Freesupertips


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