UEFA Champions League: Betting Tips, Insightful Analysis, Statistics & Prediction



Chelsea FC and AS Roma meet at the Stadio Olimpico to finish up the second leg of their doubleheader, having previously shared the spoils in a thrilling 3-3 draw at Stamford Bridge on October 18. While Champions League underdog Qarabag are seeking to upset Atletico at the Wanda Metropolitan.

Roma and Chelsea both look in fine shape in the Champions League right now, with them occupying the top two spots in the group and holding out of form Atletico Madrid at bay down in 3rd.

Their last meeting was just a few weeks ago when Roma made the trip to Stamford Bridge, and it didn’t disappoint in terms of entertainment. Chelsea went two goals to the good in the first half but was pegged back thanks to former Premier League duo Aleksandar Kolarov and Edin Dzeko, who put Roma 3-2 up between them before an Edin Hazard equaliser to make it 3-3

Statistics


Roma and Chelsea have each won one, drawn one, and lost one of their three meetings with one another, with the most recent being the thrilling 3-3 draw at Stamford Bridge in October.

Chelsea has seen three or more goals in 83% of their away games this season, keeping a clean sheet in just 33% of them. Roma have scored in 85% of their competitive games this season too.
Prediction: Roma Wins Or Draw
Manchester United vs Benfica

Manchester United have endured their first difficult spell of the season this autumn, with a goalless draw against Liverpool being followed by a rather stale performance against Benfica in the return fixture in Portugal. They then suffered their first defeat of the campaign away to Huddersfield, and many suspected that this could be the start of a downfall of sorts.

Benfica were expected to be the team in the running for 2nd place when these groups were drawn, but the Portuguese side has been absolutely dreadful so far. They opened their campaign with a 2-1 loss at home to CSKA Moscow, and then followed that with an abject performance in Switzerland as they were beaten 5-0 by Basel. They did improve when they hosted Manchester United last time out, but the result was still a defeat

Statistics

Manchester United have won four, drawn two, and lost one of their seven previous meetings with Benfica, and have won 100% of their home matches this season, winning by at least two-goals margin in 86% of them and conceding in just 14% of their game

Prediction: Man Utd Wins

PSG vs Anderlecht

Considering the amount of money PSG have spent, it’s unsurprising that they’re dominating. In all competitions, they have won 13 of their 15 matches and lost none. They have kept a clean sheet in all of their Champions League matches so far and have only conceded in two of their seven competitive home games this season.

This is not good news for Anderlecht, who come into this game having failed to score in all three of their Champions League games so far. All of these ended in a comprehensive defeat, with Celtic and Bayern Munich both beating them 3-0 and the aforementioned 4-0 thrashing at the hands of PSG.

Statistics

PSG have won 100% of their Champions League games this season and kept a clean sheet in 100% of them. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their games and conceded in just 28% of them, whilst Anderlecht has failed to score in 100% of their Champions League matches.

Prediction: PSG Wins Over 2.5

Celtic vs Bayern Munich

Celtic’s luck in the Champions League group stage draw can be considered as quite poor, and as many expected when they drew alongside PSG, Bayern Munich, and Anderlecht they are all but out of the race for qualification to the latter stages.

Bayern Munich hasn’t been at their best this season either, but the appointment of Jupp Heynckes as a manager is a positive step forward and they will be confident going on towards the rest of the season.

The visitors worst result of the season was undoubtedly their 3-0 loss at PSG in round two of the Champions League group stages, but either side of that they picked up 3-0 wins against Celtic and Anderlecht and after their 2-0 win against RB Leipzig at the weekend, another win looks very likely on Tuesday.

Statistics

Bayern Munich has won two and drawn one of their three meetings with Celtic, with the most recent being their 3-0 win at the Allianz Arena in October.

90% of Bayern Munich’s victories this season have been by more than a single goal margin, including 100% of their wins in the Champions League. 86% of Celtic’s last seven Champions League defeats have been by two goals or more as well.
Prediction: Bayern Wins & Over 1.5
Atletico Madrid vs Qarabag
Atletico Madrid were group favourites for the top spot when they were drawn in the summer, with Chelsea, Roma, and Qarabag promising tough opposition but the Champions League specialists from Spain expected to overcome the trio.
They drew at home to Villarreal on Saturday to make it one win, five draws, and one defeat from their last seven games. Admittedly there have been a few tough games in this run and at home they will feel confident of getting the win, but looking at their recent performances, it’s unlikely to be a landslide victory.

Qarabag has actually put in a few really good showings this season, one of which was their draw against Atletico Madrid. They were hammered at Chelsea, but their 2-1 loss at home to Roma is nothing to be ashamed of really and they can be happy with how the campaign has gone.

Statistics

October’s goalless draw in Azerbaijan was the first-ever meeting between these sides.

Atletico Madrid hasn’t won a Champions League game by a three-goal margin since 2015, whilst just 5% of Qarabag’s Champions League matches have seen them lose by more than two goals. 73% of Atletico Madrid’s last 11 Champions League games have seen fewer than three goals, with them winning 73% of these matches.
Prediction: Atletico Wins
Olympiakos vs FC  Barcelona
Olympiakos were always the underdogs for this group when they were drawn against Barcelona, Juventus, and Sporting Lisbon, and so far they have offered very little in the way of surprises. They have lost all three of their Champions League games and sit bottom of the group with little chance of progressing in Europe.
Whilst they have lost all their games, they haven’t been humiliated to be fair to them. They were beaten 3-2 at home to Sporting Lisbon before both Juventus and Barcelona beat them by a two-goal margin in Turin and Barcelona respectively.
Barcelona beat Athletic Bilbao 2-0 at the weekend to extend their unbeaten streak even further. Their last defeat was the Spanish Super Cup loss to Real Madrid right at the start of the season, and since then they have won 13 times and drawn once.

This includes a revenge win over Juventus in the opening round of this group stage, where they beat the Serie A side 3-0 before edging past Sporting and beating Olympiakos last time out. They sit top of the group and look to have a very good chance of taking the top spot

Statistics

Barcelona 3-1 win earlier this month was the first meeting between the Catalan giants and Olympiakos and has won 86% of their away games this season, keeping a clean sheet in 72% of them and seeing four or more goals in 0% of them.

Prediction: Barca Wins & Over 1.5

Sporting Lisbon  vs  Juventus 

Sporting Lisbon were never expected to really compete for the top two spots in this Champions League group after being drawn alongside Juventus and Barcelona, and that’s proven to be the case, despite some spirited performances from the Portuguese side.

They have lost against both Barcelona and Juventus after beating Olympiakos in their group stage opener, but the 1-0 and 2-1 defeats respectively were by no means humiliating for them and they can take away a lot of positives from their performance.

Juventus reached the Champions League Final last year before their previously unbreakable defence crumbled under the pressure of Real Madrid. They beat Barcelona comfortably in the run-up to the final, but their group opener this year afforded the Catalan club a measure of revenge as they beat them 3-0 at the Camp Nou.

Statistics

Juventus and Sporting Lisbon have each won one of their two meetings with one another, with both games ending 2-1.

The  Old Lady have kept a clean sheet in just 14% of their away games this season, scoring themselves in 86% of their games and seeing at least three goals in 86%. Sporting Lisbon has scored in 75% of their last eight Champions League home games, losing 63% of them.
Prediction: Juve Wins

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